We're right back on the New York Mets again today, and the reasoning is very simple. We don't need to break the news to you that the Mets are an underperforming team on the season. The public overlooks this team constantly, and as we see with so many teams, the amount of public bets and money is what actually dictates how they perform, conveniently for the sportsbooks. The only time the New York Mets are any good this season is when they are priced as a favorite and the general public is on the other side. To be exact: when the New York Mets are favored and fewer than 40% of the moneyline money is on them, they are 10-4 straight up this season, and right now just 26% of the money is on them. It's not some fluke either. Isolate it to just the bets and the New York Mets are 9-3 straight up this season as a favorite when fewer than 40% of the moneyline bets are on them, with just 28% on them today. So whether you look at bets or money, we all know the real reason the Mets seemingly "turn it up" and "turn it down," and it revolves entirely around what is best for the sportsbooks. It might seem crazy on paper to bet the New York Mets over an Atlanta Braves team that still has the best record in the MLB, but this is exactly the spot we want. The MLB is turning into one of those leagues like the NFL or NBA where you're essentially betting on an algorithm more than an actual sport, and we'll continue to take advantage of it.

We're right back on the Toronto Blue Jays again today, because the situation is nearly identical. The Toronto Blue Jays are one of the few teams in the MLB with a winning record over the New York Yankees since 2020. The general public has been BRAINWASHED by the sportsbooks and the sports media into believing the Yankees are going to win every single time they step on a baseball field, when the reality is that teams like the Rays, the Blue Jays, and even the cross town Mets have all owned the Yankees head to head for years. With Cam Schlittler on the mound, the Yankees flip from underdogs to favorites today, but we're not here to bet the New York Yankees or Cam Schlittler. We're here to bet on how the sportsbooks have used the Toronto Blue Jays all season long. We showed you last night that the Blue Jays were 5-1 straight up this season as a favorite when fewer than 40% of the moneyline money is on them, and after winning last night they pushed that record to 6-1. Conveniently, they are just as dominant as underdogs when the public doesn't want to bet them either, which is exactly the role they're in today. But even more curious than any of that revolves around a pitcher. Cam Schlittler is the Yankees ace and the current Cy Young favorite, but he has struggled his last two starts, and that's the part that matters today. Instead of treating him like the Cy Young arm the media and the fans still see, the sportsbooks are pricing in regression, and it's clear as day in his strikeout line. Schlittler has gone over 5.5 strikeouts in 15 of his last 20 starts, averaging 6.4 a game, so a pitcher like that should have a high strikeout line today. He went under in both of his last two starts, and the books are betting that version of Schlittler is the one who shows up today, not the Cy Young favorite everyone else is still selling. Either way, they expect less from the Yankees ace than the public does, and that again only adds fuel to the price versus perception gap of this overall game.